2024 YR 4 is an asteroid estimated to be 40 to 90 metres (130 to 300 ft) in diameter that is classified as an Apollo-type (Earth-crossing) near-Earth object. As of 17 February 2025, 2024 YR 4 was rated as a 3 on the Torino scale, with a 1-in-45 (2.3%) chance of impacting Earth on 22 December 2032. [7]

Feb 7, 2025 · Overview. Asteroid 2024 YR4 is a near-Earth asteroid, meaning it is an asteroid in an orbit that brings it into Earth’s region of the Solar System. 2024 YR4 is estimated to be about 130 to 300 feet (40 - 90 meters) wide and has a very …

12 hours ago · On Feb. 7, NASA increased the likelihood that asteroid 2024 YR4 will hit Earth in seven years time from 1.2% to 2.3%. The odds of impact then climbed to 2.6%, and are now at 3.1%, ...

Jan 31, 2025 · CNEOS analysis of near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4, which is estimated to be about 40 to 90 meters wide, indicates it has a more than 1% chance of impacting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032 — which also means there is almost a 99% chance this asteroid will not impact.

5 days ago · There is an estimated 2.3% chance that the 2024 YR4 asteroid is heading our way. Here's everything you need to know about the space rock - including how much damage it could actually cause.

Feb 7, 2025 · While still an extremely low possibility, additional observations and analysis of asteroid 2024 YR4 indicate that its impact probability with Earth has increased to a 2.3% chance on Dec. 22, 2032.

6 days ago · Over the next several weeks, astronomers will be looking closely at an asteroid called 2024 YR4 that could be as big as a football field as they try to determine how likely it is to strike...

Feb 7, 2025 · NASA scientists have just spotted a hunk of space rock that could smack into Earth in 2032. And while it's unlikely to wipe out humanity, it could take out a city. The asteroid, dubbed 2024 YR4,...

Jan 29, 2025 · NASA analysis of a near-Earth asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, indicates it has a more than 1% chance of impacting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032 – which also means there is about a 99% chance this asteroid will not impact.

On February 6, 2025, the odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting us went up once again, to a 1-in-43 chance. That’s 2.3%. The asteroid remains at a 3 on the Torino scale.